Monday, June 2, 2025

Conservatives Face Worst Defeat in Decades as Labour Surges Ahead

Reuters

The Labour Party is projected to regain power after nearly 20 years in the upcoming UK general elections.

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party is expected to face its worst-ever defeat.

On Wednesday, the Financial Times (FT) reported that the Keir Starmer leading Labour Party is expected to secure over 430 seats in the House of Commons and take control of the government.

The UK general election takes place on 4 July.

Securing more than 430 seats is a more significant victory than when the Labour Party, under former Prime Minister Tony Blair, won a majority with 179 seats in the 1997 general election.

Since the Conservative Party’s victory in the 2005 general election, the Labour Party has been defeated by the Conservative Party for nearly twenty years.

The Conservative Party is expected to suffer a worse polling defeat than in 1906 when it won only 156 seats.

Mel Stride, a close associate of Sunak and the Work and Pensions Secretary, conceded that it is “highly likely” to win the largest majority in modern British history.

Starmer of the Labour Party expressed confidence that the Labour Party is ready to take over the government.

“We prepared our party for government.”

Sunak warned voters of the dangers of allowing the Labour Party to achieve a supermajority victory, but his plea fell on deaf ears.

He appealed to voters to give the Conservative Party enough votes to oppose the Labour Party in government effectively.

However, public sentiment is cold towards the Conservative Party.

The Sun, a tabloid newspaper traditionally supportive of the Conservative Party, declared its support for Starmer.

The media declared that “the Conservative is exhausted.”

UK voters are expected to give the Labour Party a dominant poll lead.

Based on the result of the YouGov poll on the 3rd, the Labour Party is expected to secure 431 seats, far more than half of the 650 seats in the House of Commons.

In contrast, the ruling Conservative Party is expected to win only 102 seats.

431 seats is one of the more conservative estimates.

A Survation MRP poll released the day before projected the Labour Party to win 484 seats and the Conservative Party a mere 64.

The far-right Reform UK party, led by Nigel Farage, contributed to the Labor Party’s victory.

Reform UK is expected to secure only 3 seats, but it is projected to erode the Conservative Party’s vote significantly.

Also, the Scottish National Party, which advocates for Scottish independence, is expected to secure only 18 seats. Although it has always been the dominant party in Scotland, it is expected to give way to the Labour Party this time.

Meanwhile, in the YouGov poll, key Conservative Party figures, including Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt, Secretary of State for Defence Grant Shapps, and Leader of the House of Commons Lord President of the Council Penny Mordaunt, are all expected to be defeated.

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