The Republican candidate, Donald Trump, is reportedly outperforming Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate who has commenced her campaign. However, the gap between Trump and Harris has narrowed compared to polling results gathered before President Joe Biden stepped down as the Democratic candidate.’
According to The Hill, a U.S. political news outlet, on the 25th, Trump won in four out of five swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
The Hill and Emerson College conducted a joint poll from the 22nd to the 23rd, surveying 800 to 850 individuals in the five contested states.
Trump received 49% favor in Arizona, while Harris garnered 44%. In Georgia, Trump received 48% and Harris 46%. The race was tight in Michigan, where Trump had 46% and Harris 45%. In Pennsylvania, Trump also led with 48% compared to Harris’s 46%. Both candidates received 47% favorability in Wisconsin, resulting in a tie.
The margin of error for this poll was 3.3%p to 3.4%p. The Hill noted that the gap between Trump and Harris fell within the margin of error in all states except Arizona.
Harris outperformed Biden, who withdrew as the Democratic candidate on the 21st.
Harris’s poll results surpassed those of Biden in the previous swing state survey conducted by The Hill and Emerson College earlier this month, where Biden was the Democratic candidate against Trump.
Harris achieved a 5% point lead over Biden in Georgia, a 4% point lead in Arizona and Wisconsin, and a 3% in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
As of Wednesday afternoon, the national polling results aggregated by The Hill show that Trump, with 48% support, held a slight edge over Harris, with 46% within the margin of error.
